As we are only a week away from the White Sox and Indians opening the 2006 season, I wanted to go over what has happened this spring and voice some concerns and look at some points of optimism.
First, I am scared as all hell about this season. I don't like the situations in Left Field (even before the Bigbie injury), Second Base, and espescially the Bullpen. Juan Encarnacion isn't exactly a beacon of hope either.
Left FieldI'm not even sure who Larry Bigbie is. I heard nothing about him in any Spring Training reports and he was curiously absent from most box scores. There were no quotes from Tony giving him a vote of confidence or even the mundane "he's putting in his work" or "his at-bats are coming along nicely" statements so often heard from the Cards' skipper. That was a real point of concern for me, and I thought that So Taguchi might get the nod over Bigbie even before this stress fracture reared its ugly head. I have heard good things about Bigbie from other major leaguers. Apparently, he has loads of talent. We'll just have to wait and see. I imagine So will start the season in LF and I can't say that I am really disappointed by that. He will hit for contact and is good defensively in the outfield. I imagine he will also bat second in the lineup considering Tony has stated that he wants Edmonds more towards the middle of the order. Which brings me to my next concern...
Second BaseJunior Spivey is hitting .149 with an amazing 17 K's in 47 ABs this spring. There is no way, even if Spivey's defense is spectacular enough to win the second base job, that he will be batting second with that kind of K-rate and low average. Tony likes the second slot to hit-and-run and move runners in other ways. Someone with that kind of strikeout record isn't going to cut the cheese. So will have to bat second barring some other kind of LaRussa mind game.
I read on mlbtraderumors.com that Tony Graffanino has been placed on waivers by the Red Sox. Good Lord, Walt, get this guy!!! He is a good contact hitter, can hit for average, and is pretty good defensively. This is exactly the kind of move Walt has made in the past during the spring - a cheap pick-up that could really improve the team (Tony Womack in 2004). Junior Spivey isn't getting the job done. Graffanino would be the perfect move here.
BullpenI look at the Spring Training box scores and see wonderful numbers through six innings, and then in the 7th, 8th, and 9th innings, I always see a lot of crooked numbers. I mean, some really big numbers. Braden Looper, sorry to say, is not going to be great. I just don't see it. He was horrible for the Mets last year and I don't see any reason why he is going to turn it around now. This is my biggest concern. I think we will be closer to the 2003 bullpen rather than the 2004-5 bullpens that were among the league leaders in bullpen ERA.
Juan Encarnacion I watched the WBC...a friend of mine got tickets for the semi-finals and finals in San Diego so I wanted to attempt to learn the players on different teams. I watched the Dominicans a lot and Juan Encarnacion looked pathetic at the plate while also showing signs of possibly being a right field version of Lonnie Smith. They didn't call him skates for nothing. I know, it's only spring, but Juan looked lost. Hopefully, he pulls over and asks for directions on the way to Opening Day.
By the way, San Diego is great. Petco Park is beautiful. The WBC was fun to see. There is a place called Moondoggie's in the Mission Beach area where, on Sunday, people just sit around and drink all day. I was one of those people and loved every minute I spent at that bar. If you are in the area, check it out. Especially on Sunday afternoons.
Although there are some BIG concerns, Carpenter has looked great, Eckstein keeps trucking and Ponson has been surprising. I watched a game on ESPN against the Yanks and he did well, and he threw really well yesterday too. I think this signing will look good at the end of the year.
I can't say I'm really confident going in to 2006. There are so many questions. There is one shining light, though. The Cardinals play in the NL Central. And there is not one team in this division that doesn't have a ton of questions to answer.